VOD - the silent revolution

© Icqurimage 2008


A silent revolution stalks Hollywood’s well-heeled offices. Fox, ABC & CBS have all witnessed a steady decline in their ratings and advertising revenues since the dawn of digital media. A nation once fed a diet of generic TV shows and sit-coms, designed to draw mass audiences into the jaws of advertisers, is now fragmenting into a thousand niche markets which have quickly become accustomed to watching what they want, where and when they want. An era spent fighting over the family television remote has given way to personalized viewing on computers, iPods and bedroom TVs.
In what has become a perfect socioeconomic storm, the falling costs of video production and Internet broadcasting have correlated with a collapse in mass audiences and advertising revenues. A new breed of broadcaster has arrived; lean & hungry, they pander to every minority taste and whim, whether the penchant be for high fashion, fly fishing or women’s wrestling. The new breed generate revenues through subscriptions and from dedicated advertisers of niche products, to whom their targeted content appeals immensely. Sports that were once hardly ever illuminated by the cathode rays of mainstream television now have their own dedicated channels, and the once proud broadcasters of such prime time hits as the Miss World contest have seen their viewing figures disintegrate to niche market levels.
Aside from a widely unforeseen public appetite for downloading homemade video clips from the Internet (a mass market which now accounts for almost 20% of daily Internet traffic on YouTube alone), there has also been strong growth in the numbers of specialist broadcasters such as Fashion TV, Playboy TV, and The Poker Channel, all of which offer a more polished online product. Although many CEOs once dismissed such micro markets as being too small to be commercially viable, the new breed have in fact demonstrated that matching a niche product with its natural audience attracts both subscription revenues and premium advertisers who can at last reach their target market.
The advent of the webcam and Internet broadcasting have ushered in many social and technological revolutions, including those of webcasting, videoconferencing, and the gradual amalgamation of the computer and the television set. Although perhaps more widely seen than heard, the silent digital revolution has also given rise to streaming Video On Demand technology, or VOD. Many new broadcasters have arisen to take advantage of this emerging technology, as the once formidable financial barriers to entry into the broadcasting market have come crashing down. Among the new pretenders are Joost, Tivo, MSNBC, Virgin Media, and of course Google’s YouTube. Virgin Media has already become one of the top players of the VOD revolution, joining MSN and YouTube at the apex of the pyramid, while Tivo, Playboy TV, Joost & Fashion TV have focused their attentions upon niche markets.

The golden age of digital television

VOD is that rarest of technologies, one that is both self-explanatory (the term 'video' deriving from the Latin meaning ‘I see’) and all transforming. Within a few short years VOD has altered viewing patterns from those of mass social migration to episodic individual behavior. All video content may now either be streamed to view in real time, or else downloaded onto a computer, a personalised digital video recorder, or a portable media player (such as an iPod) for later viewing. Streaming video, unlike file downloads, does not linger on the viewer’s computer, although it can be replayed at a later date, making it a preferred option amongst copyright conscious content producers.
Not only does VOD help to make viewing ultimately portable, but it carries the experience of shared media into the classroom, office, bus stop, and school yard. Scenes may be replayed, fast-forwarded, or even paused for social comment. Refinements in server technology and the expanded provision of high bandwidth broadband cable networks (we are currently breaking the commercial 10 Megabits per second/10Mbps threshold), have at last made it possible to download and view live video streams on your computer without interruption. To further broaden the availability of VOD it is quite feasible to place video servers on local area or wireless networks to provide institutional users with instant uninterrupted access. What was until recently a recreational pastime reserved for teenagers and airline passengers has quickly evolved into a mainstream commodity. Vested interests are currently falling over one other in their scramble to acquire cable networks, ISPs and IT firms in this new digital gold rush. Major corporations are jostling for pole position in preparation for the forthcoming explosion in demand.
He who delays is lost, and major broadcasters such as NBC and ABC have already begun streaming their prime time TV shows to Internet viewers. Likewise those who have foreseen the death of the DVD are also moving on to fresh pastures. One DVD rental company, ‘Netflix’, has already begun to offer ‘click-and-view’ subscription services which stream full length films and television episodes to a variety of platforms - although once again there is strictly no downloading. It is not just the old dogs who are reinvesting in new tricks, as the emerging VOD market is perceived to be so potentially lucrative that many new companies like Joost and ReelTime are being created to siphon money from technology’s latest tidal pool. Some companies are even boasting that their new ‘no stop, no buffer’ services are of such high quality that you can actually hook up your television to the computer output. Although many of the shows and films being streamed are old, much of the content that is currently offered is not only new, it is even being produced exclusively for broadband VOD TV.

Impact of VOD upon the model industry

For industries as visual as those of fashion and modeling, VOD must appear a very attractive means of targeting a new generation of consumers with the latest brands and faces. It is not that the reduced costs of VOD are a primary issue to the industry as, after all, the cosmetic, magazine and fashion industries are hardly short of a dollar or two. It is rather the vast flexibility that VOD affords which allows fashionistas and lovers of beauty alike to watch their favorite shows, either live or pre-recorded, where and when they choose, from their offices to their weekend holiday cabins. Market pioneer Fashion TV relaunched its official site in 2005, broadcasting its very own VOD service to Diamond Club subscribers.
It was a red letter day when Christie Hefner, CEO of Playboy Enterprises, launched her Company’s first subscription VOD service in 2002. Cable distributors were enlisted to help sell her adult-themed service along with mainstream channels to households and hotels. At the time, Playboy TV was suffering from an economic malaise - it had no shortage of demand or product, but only limited means through which to supply it. Without the mainstream marketing channels afforded by hotel cable and VOD, Playboy TV would have been unable to access the subscription volumes necessary to ensure its profitability. The Europeans, with their more liberal policies and seemingly insatiable appetite for adult material, had already enabled Playboy TV to take up pole position in the provision of VOD services across their continent, much as Playboy had previously done through BSkyB’s satellite services.
On Labour Day 2007 Playboy TV finally launched its new look Subscription Video on Demand (SVOD) service, just as the tide of profitability was finally starting to turn in its favor. Playboy TV’s US revenues, including its VOD and pay-per-view (PPV) business, had increased by 4% to $21.6 million by the 2nd quarter of 2007, largely due to a better understanding of how to market and operate its adult VOD subscription service. This declaration of profitable trading was all the more impressive given the high cost of setting up the VOD networks and a background of rapidly declining PPV revenues. Thanks largely to VOD, Playboy is now back in the black, and the Company certainly has the product and the prestige to hold its own against the new wave of adult content providers. The growth in Playboy TV’s VOD revenues has resulted from both an increase in the number of paid downloads and subscribers, rewarding many years of patient investment in programming, marketing, and consumer research. Playboy's new SVOD service, originally launched on Cablevision in 2002, has since been picked up by a number of leading cable operators, including Comcast and Rogers Cable of Canada.
Not to be outdone by its old rival, Penthouse TV is currently launching its own $10 million VOD service which will be distributed via cable network to 9 million homes in conjunction with New Frontier Media. In addition the partnership will offer a High Definition (HD) version to a further 2 million homes, breaking new ground in the adult VOD market. Penthouse TV also plans to launch a conventional ‘linear’ TV channel in 2009, just in case you were wondering...
Other leading content providers have been quick to join the VOD revolution, with Vivid and Digital Playground both now producing content exclusively for release on VOD. Meanwhile collapsing DVD sales and online theft are driving content producers towards more secure HD/Blu-ray formats as part of a bold initiative to increase quality and reduce piracy. The consumer is however is always right, and when it comes to accessing adult content, digital VOD versions are outselling their optical counterparts by a factor of three. All titles currently offered by Digital Playground are protected by Windows Media Digital Rights Management (DRM) technology and require a special Microsoft security patch to allow them to be viewed. Some of those in the industry however remain skeptical that HD/Blu-Ray optical media technologies will ultimately defeat the pirates, and many are planning to release all new content exclusively via VOD, a technology that theoretically prevents files from being saved to disc. One film producer has gone still further, announcing that in future all content will only be released via his website in HD VOD format using heavy Windows Media DRM restrictions.

VOD’s global surge

The influence of VOD upon the future of medicine, commerce, leisure and education will be immense. Within the foreseeable future, surgeons will use live video-conferencing to allow complex operations to be performed in remote locations, high speed videoconferencing networks will enable international decisions over stocks and shares to be taken in seconds, lectures will be downloaded by students anytime, anywhere, and models will become vivid personal companions on the screen of your lap-top or iPhone. The impact of VOD upon our lifestyles will be equally profound. Visual media will be consumed universally, dramatically changing social viewing habits. Televisions and computers will merge and ultimately become one, freeing space in the home. Environmental concerns will combine with sheer convenience to ensure that videoconferencing eventually triumphs over air travel in the business world, if not the leisure market.
In a sense, VOD is the digital equivalent of ‘Just in Time’, an eighties business innovation which saved on warehousing costs by ensuring that products were delivered direct to the assembly line as required. Now the individual media consumer watches at his or her personal convenience, and not when the product is available. The era of mass broadcasting has come to its natural end, and within the new digital age of media the individual has become king. Content producers are now being forced to adapt to specific tastes rather than molding products to capture as large a share of the highest (or lowest) common denominator as possible. The market has quickly become highly fragmented, with hundreds of channels currently being broadcast on cable and satellite, and thousands more via the Internet and mobile. The established broadcasting corporations are often top heavy and slow to adapt to such market upheavals, and many such as ITV are already in their death throes as the advertising revenues that once supported them are shattered into a thousand niches in the midst of a recession.
Airplane screens, iPods and lap-tops have introduced a global audience to the pleasures of watching what they want, where and when they want. Once we thought nothing of adjusting our schedules to take in a favorite film or TV show at home. Now we can choose the time and place to suit our busy modern lives. This can only be good news for our communities and families, as people and social interactions will once again come first and the show can wait to go on...

Buffering... buffering... no buffering... the relentless advance of VOD technology

Video streaming has quickly become one of the Internet’s most popular technologies. With its potentially limitless applications, an end user requires only a web browser and a broadband connection to access a virtual universe of content. From education to video conferencing, the future is here today and it is only our collective imagination and social inertia that stand to limit the progress of this new technology. The power of VOD networks is being constantly increased through the creation of massive banks of dedicated servers and an expanded provision of ADSL/SDSL/VDSL, wireless, satellite and optical cable networks. VOD applications powered by advanced compression capabilities, parallel streaming through multiple networks, and highly flexible content management software will permit media companies to encode, upload, manage, categorize, report, bill, and advertise within the same platform. Such advanced and affordable technology will enable small production companies to set up new services that are ultimately scalable for all markets, great and small.
Although VOD technology might appear to have sprung up overnight, the trial of the very first VOD service in fact dates back to September 1994 when it formed a major part of the Cambridge Interactive TV trial. This pilot VOD project sought to provide parallel video and data streams to hundreds of homes and schools which were connected via the Cambridge Cable Network, a service which went on to become part of the NTL cable TV & broadband company, and later Virgin Media. Kingston Communications launched the first successful commercial VOD service in the UK in 1998, and also pioneered the integration of broadcast TV and Internet access to subscribers by means of a single device using IP delivery and an ADSL network. It was not however to be until 2005, when cable TV providers Telewest and NTL launched their own VOD services, that the dominance of BSkyB’s satellite-based UK network would be challenged. Duly threatened, BSkyB countered with their own broadband VOD service called ‘Sky Anytime’ in 2006, as the widespread distribution of a single signal made streaming VOD impractical for most satellite TV systems. Sky has employed a so-called ‘peer-to-peer’ approach using Kontiki technology to provide very high capacity multi-point downloads of video which capture content from multiple users within the system who have already downloaded it, rather than depending exclusively upon the bandwidth of Sky’s own host servers. Now most major European broadcasters have entered the VOD race, fearing omens of a commercial rout. By the end of 2006, over 140 subscription-based VOD services were already in operation across the European Union.
The first US commercial VOD service was provided by Hawaii’s Oceanic Cable around the turn of the Millennium. Today, streaming VOD systems are almost universally available through cable providers who have taken advantage of the large downstream bandwidths available on existing networks. To show that the sky’s the limit for VOD technology, EchoStar recently announced a plan to offer VOD services to Personal Video Recorder (PVR) owning subscribers of its satellite network TV service, taking commercial VOD into space.
For all its hype, VOD technology is still nascent and fast evolving. ‘True’ interactive VOD represents the ‘Holy Grail’ of consumer video applications. Early ‘near’ video-on-demand, or NVOD, afforded domestic consumers little choice or interactivity through which to program their viewing. NVOD originally evolved as a pay-per-view consumer video technology which was widely adopted by multi-channel broadcasters. This technology employed high bandwidth distribution channels such as satellite and cable TV. By broadcasting repeat shows several times an hour, subscribers were able to view a program without needing to tune in at a prescheduled time. However NVOD consumes vast amounts of bandwidth and so is only available to major operators which possess extensive spare network capacity.
So-called ‘Push VOD’ is a technology that has been employed by a number of broadcasters on systems which lack interactivity in order to simulate ‘true’ VOD. Push VOD systems employ PVRs to automatically pre-record a selection of programming which is often transmitted overnight when network demand is at it lowest ebb. However Push VOD opens the back door to video piracy, as content must first be downloaded onto the PVR’s hard drive, and this drawback, coupled to the limitations of PVR space and the number of programs available on such systems, makes Push VOD unlikely to find a large market. The age of ‘true’ VOD is however dawning, as Microsoft’s Windows Media Technologies have pioneered an IP-based delivery system over the Internet using high security IP encapsulation.

The future of VOD

Satellite VOD broadcasters will ultimately find that they are simply unable to compete with cheaper domestic broadband VOD systems, although they will find lucrative alternatives through providing VOD services to geographically remote regions and to hand-held platforms. Meanwhile, the popularity of the DVD is dying fast, and the advent of Blu-Ray & HD technologies may only dent the declining sales of optical storage media. Collectors will still value DVDs for their artwork and as a convenient library format, but they will become increasingly expensive as demand continues to fall and Blu-Ray/HD production costs have their impact. VOD will entice small & innovative production companies to enter lucrative new niche markets, from private plane and yachting communities to night clubs. For the connoisseur however, the ultimate viewing experience could only ever be 3D-HD TV, a medium that will require ever higher compression, optical storage and bandwidth capabilities. Such 3D-HD media would be very expensive to produce, but virtually impossible to pirate given its anticipated data density, especially if viewing goggles containing encryption codes were required to render the image to the viewer’s eyes.
In the future, a bewildering range of choices will become available to the consumer, and media selection will increasingly be made via keyword searches rather than through published schedules. The vast selection of channels that will appear will be bundled into ‘master’ packages, each designed to cater to those of a certain disposition, such as extreme sports or fashion shows. Virgin Media Cable TV already offers TV ‘On Demand’, presenting a virtual vault of thousands of pre-recorded TV shows and films, in addition to its existing repertoire of standard linear (i.e. live) channels. Virgin Media’s VOD audience alone has already outgrown that of leading broadcaster Channel Five, claiming some 3.5 million paying subscribers, in addition to revenues from ‘pre-roll’ advertisements which are integrated into videos at CPM rates that are five times higher than those of traditional banner ads. Although Virgin Media’s range of services has diversified to include TV, Internet, telephony and mobile, there has been the advantage of a consolidated billing system. With its declared intention to launch a 50Mbps broadband service in 2008 via its new fibre optic cable network, Virgin Media is poised to become the world’s largest single VOD service provider. With the promised availability of HD streams demanding 15 Mbps compared to the existing 3.75 Mbps needed for standard-definition VOD, the bandwidth implications and the requirement for new high bandwidth optical cable networks are self-explanatory. Other network providers such as British Telecom, Tiscali, Sky, ITV, Channel 4, Channel 5, and the BBC have already entered the fray with their own VOD network services.
By 2006, the proportion of US digital-cable enabled households that used VOD rose to 60%. It is estimated that viewers spent some $2.1bn on VOD services in 2007, a figure which is predicted to exceed $4bn by 2011. The only question that remains for this fastest growing of media is how best to monetize the vast audiences it is anticipated to attract. While Comcast (America’s largest single cable operator) currently registers around 250 million views per month, emerging cable operators are still considering revenue-sharing plans or operational tolls levied for each pre-roll advert inserted. Advertisers though have been increasingly drawn to the potential of dynamic ad insertion which allows them to pitch ads at selected viewers based upon individual preferences and viewing behavior. The technology and programming this would entail leaves VOD companies with a major headache, as delivering the latest targeted commercials within a VOD feed, a technique known as ‘dynamic insertion’, would require intensive software integration between the VOD platform and existing data traffic systems.
Meanwhile VOD technology companies are predicting a leap in their annual revenues as cable operators upgrade their infrastructure to support high bandwidth VOD content and new software applications such as time-shifting and targeted advertising. Providing the time-shifting capabilities of a DVR by using VOD networks, or 'network DVR', avoids potential piracy issues whilst allowing the accustomed flexibility of traditional home DVD/VCR players. Optical cable network VOD upgrades would enable yet more linear HD channels and ever higher speeds of data transmission.
Once again, the familiar pattern of a new video technology being funded first by pay-per-view, then by subscription, and finally by advertising is likely to play out again, as increasing competition squeezes margins and drives the evolution of 'free' broadcasting models funded by advertising. So ultimately the commercial viability of VOD will also boil down to the ability of content producers to make their audiences and advertisers dance to the same tune. One Chicago-based company, known as Liquidus, has adapted photo-panning technology to turn classified ads into attention grabbing VOD ‘pre-rolls’. Liquidus is currently collaborating with cable companies to target thousands of VOD ads to like-minded subscribers. Their software automatically creates video files from images, text and audio streams and inserts them into appropriate content. Liquidus VOD ads currently run at $25-30 per listing per week, and 96% of these ads are automatically generated from as many as 400 different data feeds.
Soon the individual consumer will determine the precise nature of the content streams that he or she decides to view. Advertisers will attempt to invade and interrupt these data streams, and once again the consumer will benefit, as this will continue to make most VOD content free. This may at first appear to be a major imposition, but after all, if you think back fifty years, commercial cinemas, VHS video and DVD producers have always inserted ads prior to screening their pay-per-view product. For the majority of us, the world will appear to become an increasingly bewildering and fragmented torrent of visual information, in which it will often seem impossible to assign visual media content to the present, recent history, or the past. New movies made on Monday could be available for VOD download by Friday, and the era of films being in the can for years will have finally come to an end. But for now, all the consumer needs to know is that there will more choice, faster transmission, higher resolution, and all at a reduced cost. Long live competition - for the consumer is truly king.


© Icqurimage 2008